Building safety by resilient organization - A case specific approach
RELIABILITY, RISK AND SAFETY: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS VOLS 1-3
Authors: Storseth, F.; Tinmannsvik, R. K.; Oien, K.
Abstract
The paper presents key findings from the research project "Building Safety". Building Safety aims to generate knowledge for building resilient operational organizations for petroleum production in the northern regions. The results of the study should serve as input for Eni Norge, in their current preparation for petroleum production at the Goliat field in the Barents Sea. The paper presents how resilience was operationalized and empirically tested in a case study of successful recovery of incidents. Based on theoretical contributions on resilience and Resilience Engineering (RE), the following 'Contributing Success Factors' (CSFs) were operationalized and examined: CSF1 Risk Awareness, CSF2 Response Capacity, and CSF3 Support. The paper concludes with case specific advice for building a resilient organization: (1) apply scenario analyses, (2) prepare for successful improvisation, (3) assess IO (Integrated Operations) effects on resilience attributes, (4) ensure awareness of ongoing work processes at all levels, and (5) share risks and objectives.
Association Between Plasma Level of Collagen Type III Alpha 1 Chain and Development of Strictures in Pediatric Patients With Crohn's Disease
CLINICAL GASTROENTEROLOGY AND HEPATOLOGY
Authors: Ballengee, Cortney R.; Stidham, Ryan W.; Liu, Chunyan; Kim, Mi-Ok; Prince, Jarod; Mondal, Kajari; Baldassano, Robert; Dubinsky, Marla; Markowitz, James; Leleiko, Neal; Hyams, Jeffrey; Denson, Lee; Kugathasan, Subra
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are few serum biomarkers to identify patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who are at risk for stricture development. The extracellular matrix components, collagen type III alpha 1 chain (COL3A1) and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP), could contribute to intestinal fibrosis. We investigated whether children with inflammatory CD (B1) who later develop strictures (B2) have increased plasma levels of COL3A1 or COMP at diagnosis, compared with children who remain B1. We compared results with previously studied biomarkers, including autoantibodies against colony-stimulating factor 2 (CSF2). METHODS: We selected 161 subjects (mean age, 12.2 y; 62% male) from the Risk Stratification and Identification of Immunogenic and Microbial Markers of Rapid Disease Progression in Children with Crohn's cohort, completed at 28 sites in the United States and Canada from 2008 through 2012. The children underwent colonoscopy and upper endoscopy at diagnosis and were followed up every 6 months for 36 months; plasma samples were collected at baseline. Based on CD phenotype, children were separated to group 1 (B1 phenotype at diagnosis and follow-up evaluation), group 2 (B2 phenotype at diagnosis), or group 3 (B1 phenotype at diagnosis who developed strictures during follow-up evaluation). Plasma samples were collected from patients and 40 children without inflammatory bowel disease (controls) at baseline and analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to measure COL3A1 and COMP. These results were compared with those from a previous biomarker study. The Kruskal-Wallis test and the pairwise Dunn test with Bonferroni correction were used to compare differences among groups. RESULTS: The median baseline concentration of COL3A1 was significantly higher in plasma from group 3 vs group 1 (P = .01) and controls (P = .01). Median baseline plasma concentrations of COMP did not differ significantly among groups. A model comprising baseline concentrations of COL3A1 and anti-CSF2 identified patients with B2 vs B1 CD with an area under the curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71-0.89); the combined concentration identified patients with strictures with a sensitivity value of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55-0.83) and a specificity value of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.67-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: We found median plasma concentrations of COL3A1, measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay at diagnosis, to be significantly higher in patients with CD who later developed strictures than in patients without strictures. The combination of concentrations of COL3A1 and anti-CSF2 might be used to identify pediatric patients at CD diagnosis who are at risk for future strictures.