PRISMA-7 and Risk for Short-Term Adverse Events in Older Patients Visiting the Emergency Department: Results of a Large Observational and Prospective Cohort Study
JOURNAL OF NUTRITION HEALTH & AGING
Authors: Beauchet, O.; Galery, K.; Vilcocq, C.; Maubert, E.; Afilalo, M.; Launay, C. P.
Abstract
Background The "Program of Research on the Integration of Services for the Maintenance of Autonomy" (PRISMA-7) is the reference tool for the assessment of older patients visiting the emergency departments (EDs) in the province of Quebec (Canada). This study aimed to examine 1) whether the PRISMA-7 high-risk level for disabilities was associated with the length of stay in ED and in hospital, and hospital admission; and 2) performance criteria (i.e., sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value [PPV], negative predictive value [NPV], likelihood ratios [LR]) of the PRISMA-7 high-risk level for the length of stay in ED and hospital, and hospital admission in older ED users. Methods A total of 12,983 older ED users of the Jewish General Hospital (Montreal, Quebec, Canada) were recruited in this observational and prospective cohort study. All enrolled participants had a PRISMA-7 assessment upon their arrival at ED. The length of stay in ED and hospital, and hospital admission were used as outcomes. Results A PRISMA-7 high-risk level was associated with an increased length of stay in ED and hospital (beta >= 2.1 with P <= 0.001 and Hazard ratio (HR)= >= 1.2 with P <= 0.001) as well as in hospital (HR=1.27 with P <= 0.001) in patients on a stretcher. All performance criteria were low (i.e., <0.78). Patients with a PRISMA-7 high-risk level were discharged significantly later from ED and hospital compared to those with low-risk level (P=0.001). Interpretation A PRISMA-7 high-risk level was associated with a long length of stay in ED and hospital, and hospital admission in patients on a stretcher but had poor performance criteria for these adverse events, suggesting that it cannot be used as a prognostic tool in older ED users.
Early Progesterone Change Associated With Pregnancy Outcome After Fresh Embryo Transfer in Assisted Reproduction Technology Cycles With Progesterone Level of > 1.5 ng/ml on Human Chorionic Gonadotropin Trigger Day
FRONTIERS IN ENDOCRINOLOGY
Authors: Lee, Chun-, I; Chen, Hsiu-Hui; Huang, Chun-Chia; Lin, Pin-Yao; Lee, Tsung-Hsien; Lee, Maw-Sheng
Abstract
Several studies have reported a poor implantation rate for assisted reproduction technology (ART) cycles with elevated progesterone (P4) at the end of the follicular phase. Whether all women with increased P4 on the human chorionic gonadotropin(hCG) trigger day should undergo fresh or frozen embryo transfer (ET) remains to be explored. This study attempted to determine that the P4 level on 2 days before hCG administration and P4 ratio can serve as indicators for fresh ET in normal responders with an elevated P4 level of >1.5 ng/ml on the hCG administration day. This was a retrospective cohort study involving 337 ART cycles with fresh ET for normal responders. Serum P4 levels were measured 2 days prior to hCG day (P4 level I) and on the hCG administration day (P4 level II). The P4 ratio was calculated as follows: P4 ratio = P4 level II / P4 level I. The primary outcome is live birth rate of fresh ET cycles. The ROC curves established that the optimal P4 level I and P4 ratio for pregnancy in ART cycles with high P4 level II were 0.975 ng/ml and 1.62, respectively. Patients with a P4 level I of <= 0.975 ng/ml and P4 ratio of >1.62 were associated with a significantly higher implantation (30.8%, 61/198 vs. 10.3%, 19/184,p< 0.001) and live birth rates (51.6%, 33/64 vs. 15.0%, 9/60,p< 0.001) compared with those with a P4 level I of >0.975 ng/ml and P4 ratio of <= 1.62. A combination of P4 level I and P4 ratio cutoff values of 0.975 ng/ml and 1.62, respectively, had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 82.5% for pregnancy. In conclusion, fresh ET can be an option for women with an early P4 level I under 0.975 ng/ml and a P4 ratio higher than 1.62, especially for those normal responders with an elevated P4 level II >1.5 ng/ml on the hCG administration day. This approach may shorten the time to pregnancy and reduce the cost of ART cycles.